After 23 rounds of the Chinese Super League, the league's champion and relegation situation is becoming clearer. Although Shanghai Seaport suffered two rounds of losses, they are still at the top of the table, and this season's championship is basically a foregone conclusion.
In terms of relegation, Shenzhen, who once again suffered five consecutive league defeats, have already locked up their relegation spot. The other relegated team will be between Dalian Ren, Nantong Zhiyun and Qingdao Hainiu.
Looking at the current points of the three teams, Qingdao Hainiu is the most favorable for relegation and Dalian is the most dangerous. In the last seven rounds of the league, Dalian's opponents are Zhejiang, Tianjin Jinmen Tigers, Shandong Taishan, Beijing Guoan, Wuhan Town, Qingdao Hainiu and Shanghai Port.
Obviously, except for Qingdao Hainiu, these seven opponents are all better than Dalian Ren. The three home opponents:Shandong Taishan, Wuhan Sanzhen, and Shanghai Harbor, are all teams with the strength to win the championship. It's hard for Dalian people to score at home, and the only one they are sure to beat is Qingdao Hainiu, the newest team in the Chinese Super League.
Similar to Dalian People, Nantong Zhiyun's opponents in the last seven rounds of the league are Wuhan Sanzhen, Chengdu Rongcheng, Qingdao Hainiu, Shanghai Port, Shanghai Shenhua, Meizhou Hakka, and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger. Except for Qingdao Hainiu, the other six teams are tough to beat.
Dalian Ren and Nantong Zhiyun have now completed their home and away matches for the season. Currently there is only a one point difference between Dalian Ren and Nantong Zhiyun. If they both beat Qingdao Hainiu and the other six matches have the same result, then Nantong Zhiyun will keep the thrilling relegation.
If Nantong Zhiyun loses their match against Qingdao Hainiu, and Dalianjin can beat Qingdao Hainiu on the road, then they are likely to complete their relegation task this season, and vice versa. In this way, Qingdao Manatee will be the "judge" to decide who will be relegated, Dalian Ren or Nantong Zhiyun.
Of course, Qingdao Hainiu is not very safe right now. They are only two points away from relegation. Once they lose to Nantong Zhiyun and Dalian consecutively, they will probably become another relegated team after Shenzhen this season.
Of course, Qingdao Hainiu is in a better situation than Nantong Zhiyun and Dalian, as their opponents in the last seven rounds of the league are significantly weaker. Especially in the last match of the league, they will face Cangzhou Lions on the road, who have no desire to finish relegation in advance. Coach Zhao Junzhe is a well-connected local coach in China. He should release Qingdao Hainiu.
So, after some calculations, it is ultimately most likely that Dalian Ren will be relegated. After all, Dalian Ren is one of the worst 16 Chinese Super League teams except Shenzhen. Even if they are able to complete the relegation task this season, whether they can continue to survive next season is a difficult question...
