On Sunday (14th), the English Premier League (EPL) has seen Liverpool and Arsenal, the original leaders, suffer Waterloo, with the Reds losing to Crystal Palace on the road, and the Arsenal defeating Aston Villa by 0-2 at home. Manchester City (73 points) has a 2-point advantage over Arsenal and Liverpool, and will take the lead in the remaining 6 rounds of the league. Opta data predicts that the probability of Manchester City winning the title is as high as 70%, and the football betting has adjusted the odds of winning the title to 1.35 times.
Liverpool's 0-1 defeat at home to Crystal Palace, Arsenal also suffered an accident in the match at home against Aston Villa. In the first half, Arsenal attacked Villa's defense many times, but failed to form an effective attack; Villa's counterattack was also quite threatening, and O'Neills hit the crossbar with a shot. In the second half, Arsenal lost their way, and Villa took the lead. 84 minutes later, Ambioni's defense failed, and O'Neill's shot hit the crossbar again 3 minutes later, resulting in a 0-2 home defeat.
So far in 2024, Arsenal have won 10 and drawn one in the Premier League, but a Villa strike mercilessly snapped his winning streak. After Arsenal fell behind, things moved two points in City's favor. After the match, leader Adi Da said: The first half was one of our best performances against a strong team this season, but the second half was completely off the mark. I can't control City's performance, but I can control my own. The reaction of the players at key moments is most important. We have a chance to make history in midweek.
Opta data shows that Manchester City's probability of winning the title has soared from 40.6% to 70% after this round of matches, while Arsenal (18.3%) and Liverpool (11.7%) have seen their probabilities of winning the title plummet. Of the three remaining teams, City's only opponent is Tottenham Hotspur, a top-seven team. Arsenal will face Chelsea, Tottenham and Manchester United, while Liverpool will also face Tottenham and Villa. No wonder City are touted as favorites to win the title.
Arsenal's remaining fixtures:
21/04 Visitors Vs Wolves
24/04 Home Vs Chelsea
28/04 Tottenham Hotspur
04/05 Home Vs Brentford
12/05 Visitors Vs Man Utd
19/05 Home Vs Everton
Liverpool's remaining fixtures:
21/04 Visitors Vs Fulham
25/04 Everton vs.
27/04 Visitors Vs West Ham United
05/05 Home Vs Tottenham Hotspur
14/05 Away Vs Aston Villa
19/05 Home Vs Wolves
City's remaining fixtures:
26/04 Visitors Vs Brighton
28/04 Visitors Vs Nottingham Forest
05/05 Home Vs Wolves
11/05 Visitors Vs Fulham
15/05 Away Vs Tottenham Hotspur
19/05 Home Vs West Ham United